GOP front-runner and four times-indicted Donald Trump will not be physically present at Wednesday evening's first 2024 presidential primary debate. But he'll be there anyway as the troubled candidate remains the dominant figure – and issue – of the nominating contest.
Typically, early debates are a chance for poll-laggers to make an impression, either by delivering a well-placed zinger at a top-tier candidate or shining with a smart response to a question. The front-runners tend to have targets on their backs, which could result in a weakened position or a stronger one, if they handle attacks from primary rivals well.
But in the case of the debate in Milwaukee on Wednesday, the participants are in an awkward, perhaps no-win situation: The front-runner won't even be there, and the rest of the field can't attack him without alienating the very voters they'd need to sew up the nomination, should the legally imperiled Trump be forced to suspend his campaign.
Trump is "going to be the huge, spray-tanned elephant in the room. He's going to be what everybody is thinking about, even though he's not there," says Dave Cohen, a political science professor at the University of Akron.
That means the eight candidates who have qualified for the debate – Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, tech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina, former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, former Vice President Mike Pence, North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum, former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson – have few choices, and none is terribly appealing.
They can attack Trump, defend him or try to ignore him – which debate moderators are not likely to let pass, Cohen says. None of those approaches helps a candidate emerge as a better choice than Trump without angering Trump's rank-and-file loyalists.
"They're in a difficult spot, strategically," says Stephen Smith, professor at the School of Politics and Global Studies at Arizona State University. But "it's one they've earned," he adds.
Only a few have been willing to criticize Trump directly, and it's not appeared to have endeared them to GOP primary voters.
Christie – who worked on Trump's transition team before turning on him – has been the most aggressive in his attacks on Trump, saying the former president lacks the "character" to serve in the Oval Office and needling Trump for skipping the debate, which Christie last week called "completely disrespectful" to GOP voters.
The tactic – essentially making himself the marquee foil of Trump – is based on the gamble that if Trump ends up leaving the race, Christie will emerge as the most prominent truth-teller and default new front-runner.
It's not going so well, so far: National polls have Christie in the low single digits. A recent Des Moines Register/NBC poll in Iowa puts Christie in sixth place with 5% support among GOP caucus-goers.
Former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson – who arguably on paper has the most complete and traditional resume for a Republican presidential contender – is also polling in the low single digits, his criticism of Trump not moving the needle at all.
Former Vice President Mike Pence has stepped up his criticism of Trump's behavior – saying the former president asked him to put him above the Constitution by asking him to refuse to certify the 2020 election results – but hasn't made it as personal.
Pence recently said he was not aware of any "broad-based effort" to declassify records before Trump left office, undercutting the former president's claim that the classified documents he is accused of taking and improperly keeping at his Mar-a-Lago resort were, in fact, declassified. But Pence has also been reluctant to say Trump should be treated like any other politician who has been convicted of a felony – meaning, ousted from office.
"I think that needs to be left to the American people. Look, let’s let the former president have his day in court. Let’s maintain a presumption of innocence in this matter," Pence told ABC on Sunday.
Former U.S. Ambassador Nikki Haley – the only woman who will be onstage Wednesday night – has cautioned that Trump's legal troubles could cost Republicans the general election. She hasn't directly criticized the former president but didn't shy away earlier this month by reminding people of how much worse Trump's situation is getting.
"Like most Americans, I’m tired of commenting on every Trump drama. I’ve lost track of whether this indictment is the third or fourth or the fifth," Haley said during an appearance on “Good Morning New Hampshire” radio show with Jack Heath – before the fourth indictment out of Georgia’s Fulton County.
Others have responded to questions about Trump with attacks on the criminal justice system and its prosecutors themselves.
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who is running a distant second to Trump in most polls, decried the "weaponization of government" after Trump's third indictment – though he conceded he had not actually read the document. DeSantis also acknowledged recently that the 2020 election was not stolen, telling NBC "of course he lost" when asked about Trump's discredited claims of a fraudulent 2020 contest – a comment not likely to endear him to Trump's most devoted supporters.
Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina called the recent indictment of Trump "un-American and unacceptable. We need a better system than that."
Tech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, who has edged upward in a couple of state polls, has walked a similar line.
"These are politicized persecutions through prosecution,” he said at a town hall meeting last week. “It would be a lot easier for me if Donald Trump were not in this primary, but that is not how I want to win this election," he added.
And North Dakota Gov. Doug Burgum is just deflecting the matter entirely.
"I do trust the voters. ... They want presidential elections to be about the future, a vision for the future," Burgum told NBC's "Meet the Press" on Sunday after being asked about Trump's troubles.
In reality, it is the candidates not named Trump who will have the most to prove or explain Wednesday night, analysts say. DeSantis, whose campaign has been flailing, might need to explain why he suggested some Republicans backing Trump are "listless vessels" – a cringe-worthy similar remark to 2016 Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton reference to the "basket of deplorables" in Trump's base.
As the front-runner among the also-rans, DeSantis will likely take the heaviest rhetorical artillery from the GOP field at the debate. Most of the rest will be struggling to get out of single digits – with the possible exception of Burgum, who is still trying to get the American public to recognize his name.
Trump, meanwhile, said he plans to counter-program with the airing of a taped one-on-one interview with former Fox News host Tucker Carlson. Thursday – a day when the political news would typically be dominated by post-debate analysis – Trump will be the star player in an unprecedented legal and political drama, turning himself in for processing at a Fulton County jail.
"He's cutting right into the shadow of the debate" with that timing, Smith says. As he undoubtedly will during the debate itself.
。 今年 WAIC 最火爆的展区，除了机器人就是 AI 手机了。 更重磅的消息，发生在世博展览馆之外——7 月 15 日，国家互联网信息办公室公布新一批手机端侧生成式人工智能服务备案。
苹果智能、三星盖乐世 AI、华为小艺、OPPO AndesGPT、vivo 蓝心端侧大模型、小米澎湃 AI 和努比亚豆包手机大模型等 7 款产品获批。 真正可能最快把 AI 带到普通人身边的设备，未必在展台上，反而就在每个人的口袋里。
其中最受瞩目的自然是 Apple Intelligence，国行 iPhone 用户真的等得太久了。随着备案落定，用户对手机 AI 的好奇，也越来越具体：Siri 什么时候才能真正听懂上下文？AI 会怎么样跨应用完成任务？它读取照片、日程和聊天记录时，数据是否必须上传云端？
这些能力又是否足以成为更换一部新手机的理由？自发布以来，市场一直期待 AI 成为下一轮 iPhone 换机和生态升级的理由。IDC 在 WWDC 2026 后判断，更完整的 Apple Intelligence 将增强新款硬件的升级理由，并有机会把苹果操作系统进一步推向「个人智能」平台。
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更具个人上下文的 Siri、更深入的跨应用协作，以及更多依赖新硬件的本地 AI 功能，都被视为苹果重新定义手机交互的一部分。 而在苹果之外，「Android 机皇」三星盖乐世 AI 也要来了，面壁智能 MiniCPM 系列作为三星盖乐世 AI 的端侧模型能力提供方，深度参与此次备案落地。 对面壁而言，这意味着其端侧模型开始从开源社区和技术验证，进入全球头部消费电子厂商的实际产品。
在全球手机市场，三星长期处于全球智能手机市场第一梯队，拥有覆盖入门到旗舰的完整 Galaxy 产品线、广泛的全球销售网络，以及横跨手机、平板、手表和耳机的终端生态。
如果端侧能力进一步扩展到更多机型和市场，端侧智能潜在触达的将不再是少数开发者或单个行业客户，而是数以千万计的普通手机用户。 一次集中备案，释放出的是更广泛的行业信号，手机端侧 AI 正从功能预告和概念验证，进入规范化、规模化落地阶段。
三 | 当 AI 能力开始留在设备本地，手机正在成为端侧智能最先触达普通用户的入口。 端侧 AI 看手机？为什么
为什么首先是手机？
手机与人的距离最近，也是使用频率最高的智能终端。它天然掌握着用户的通信、影像、位置和日程等信息，还具备相机、麦克风和各种传感器，能够为 AI 提供持续的个人上下文。
四 | 这也让手机端侧 AI 与普通的云端聊天机器人有所不同。复杂推理仍然可以交给云端，但拍照理解、语音处理、个人信息检索等高频、即时或隐私敏感的任务，可以优先在本地完成。这样既能缩短等待时间、减少云端调用成本，也能让一部分敏感数据不必离开设备。 在由面壁智能主办的「 WAIC 端侧 AI 创新和行业发展论坛」上，三星电子中国研究院院长沈志春，把手机端侧 AI 的需求精准地概括为「多、快、好、省」：让更多任务在本地完成，获得更快响应和足够好的体验，同时节省云端 Token、流量、存储与电量消耗。
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机器人则把端侧 AI 从信息处理进一步推向物理行动。面壁通用 VLA 模型 MiniCPM-RobotManip，与面向移动机器人跟踪导航的 MiniCPM-RobotTrack，让机器人把视觉、语言和动作连接起来，并在长程任务中保留此前的观察和执行信息。
搭载 MiniCPM-RobotTrack 的机器狗可以在开放环境下零样本指令跟随，并且抗各类人物穿梭干扰，同时可以在无网网环境（例如电梯、停车场），依然流畅跟随。 结合了面壁端侧多模态大模型和乐聚的夸父机器人本体和导航系统，则可以让机器人在无网的情况下，纯端侧运行导览系统，支持基于本地知识库的离线讲解和自由问答，多模态大模型作为导览机器人的大脑，可以实时理解展厅环境，理解人类指令和意图，规划导览路线并进行避障导航。
从手机到汽车和机器人，面壁的落地案例覆盖了不同终端形态，而再进一步，除具体产品和项目之外，面壁还深入参与端侧智能相关方法与标准的建立。 WAIC 期间，面壁智能与中国信息通信研究院联合前瞻发布《AI For AI 标准》，尝试为 AI 参与模型研发提供统一的测试和评价尺度。作为技术实例，面壁同时发布并开源 ForgeTrain。 按照面壁的说法，ForgeTrain 是一个由 AI 编写生产级代码的训练框架，已被用于 MiniCPM5-1B 的训练，并适配英伟达 H100 与华为昇腾系列芯片。 参与行业制定，体现了面壁希望承担的另一种角色，不只提供单个端侧模型，也参与建立训练、适配和规模化复制的方法。
九 | 争夺端侧智能的定义权
手机是端侧 AI 最先规模化的入口，它把本地模型带到普通用户身边，也让低延迟、隐私和端云协同从技术概念变成可以被消费者感知的产品能力。 汽车和机器人则把端侧 AI 带入更广阔的真实世界，前者让模型在弱网和长生命周期中持续升级，后者要求模型在本地完成感知、决策和行动。
十 | 不同终端的需求并不完全相同，却共同要求 AI 能力离开云端服务器，进入具体设备和真实任务。
这也意味着，端侧智能并不是把云端模型压缩后装进设备这么简单。哪些任务必须留在本地，哪些任务仍应交给云端；不同算力和功耗条件下，模型需要保留多少能力；一套方案如何跨芯片、跨终端复制，并在隐私、延迟和可靠性上形成可验证的标准——这些问题至今都没有完全固定的答案。 争夺端侧智能的定义权，正是争夺这些问题的回答方式，它不仅取决于谁先发布一个更小的模型，也取决于谁能把模型能力、硬件适配、系统协同和场景交付沉淀成一套可重复的方法，让一次合作不再只是孤立项目。 面壁想证明的，也不只是 MiniCPM 能够在某一台、某一类设备上运行。从三星手机，到量产汽车、工业机器人和无网导览，再到 AI for AI 标准与 ForgeTrain，其角色正在从端侧模型提供者，延伸为端侧智能落地方法的提供者。手机提供规模化入口，汽车和机器人检验更复杂的真实任务，标准与训练框架则尝试让这些能力更容易被复制。
十一 | 端侧并不是云端的反面，云端仍适合复杂推理和低频任务，端侧则更适合即时响应、弱网可用、敏感数据处理和持续运行。两者协同，才能让 AI 从聊天框真正进入用户随身携带和长期使用的设备。 从这个意义上说，面壁正在争夺的，是 AI 如何进入物理终端与真实世界的定义权。
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